What size do analysts project for the AgriTech market by 2030?

Recent analyst outlooks suggest global AgriTech revenue could reach roughly $85–105 billion by 2030. IDC’s agriculture FutureScape anchors the range on precision tools and data services, while PitchBook’s late-December notes layer in higher-growth contributions from robotics and biologicals. The spread reflects uncertainty in equipment cycles, commodity price volatility, and regulatory timing for autonomy and drone deployments. Watch 2026 commercialization milestones from Deere, CNH, and DJI for signals on the upper end of the range.

Which technologies are expected to see the fastest adoption through 2030?

Analysts expect precision applications guided by AI, field robotics for specialty crops, and biological crop inputs to outpace the broader market. IDC models a majority of developed-market row-crop acres using variable-rate applications by 2030, while PitchBook sees high-teens CAGR for robotics. Biologicals are projected by McKinsey to represent 10–15% of crop protection value by 2030 as regulation and resistance management favor integrated programs. Interoperable data platforms from Trimble and Climate FieldView help operationalize these gains.

How will OEM roadmaps from Deere, CNH, and DJI influence the forecasts?

OEMs provide the deployment cadence that underpins adoption models. Deere’s expansion of See & Spray and autonomy subscriptions, CNH’s Raven features for automated in-field passes, and DJI Agriculture’s heavier-payload spray drones inform how quickly growers can capture labor and input savings. Analysts translate those 2026 rollouts into acreage penetration assumptions and payback periods. If OEMs hit their announced commercialization timelines, the upper-bound forecast scenarios for 2030 become more likely, especially in high-labor-cost and specialty-crop regions.

What are the main risks to AgriTech adoption through 2030?

Key risks include regulatory delays for beyond-visual-line-of-sight drone operations, uneven data interoperability across mixed fleets, and cyclical pressure from commodity prices that can defer capex. Analysts also flag integration complexity across agronomy platforms and potential bottlenecks in service support. Policy incentives from the EU and USDA mitigate some risks by subsidizing digital and conservation practices, but execution varies by region. Ensuring uptime, training, and clear ROI will be critical for sustaining double-digit growth trajectories.

How do sustainability and carbon programs factor into revenue projections?

Carbon-linked agronomy and traceability services are modeled to contribute several billion dollars by 2030, driven by EU reporting rules and U.S. conservation funding. Analysts expect monetization to shift from raw imagery toward outcome-based prescriptions and verified practice data. This benefits platforms that can integrate sensing, application, and reporting, such as Climate FieldView and Trimble Agriculture. The pace of corporate Scope 3 commitments and regional policy clarity will determine whether this category lands near $3 billion or closer to $6 billion globally by 2030.

Goldman Sachs Lifts AgriTech Outlook to 2030 as Deere Accelerates AI

Analysts raise 2030 AgriTech forecasts on precision tools, robotics, and biologicals as major players expand deployment. Deere, CNH, Bayer, and DJI outline 2026 roadmaps, while IDC and PitchBook model double‑digit growth through 2030 amid climate and labor pressures.

Published: January 14, 2026 By James Park Category: AgriTech

Goldman Sachs Lifts AgriTech Outlook to 2030 as Deere Accelerates AI

Executive Summary

Investment banks and industry analysts project double-digit annual AgriTech growth through 2030, led by precision tools, robotics, and biologicals, with global revenue estimated to reach the mid-$80 billion to low-$100 billion range by 2030 (PitchBook analyst notes; IDC FutureScape).
Manufacturers including Deere, CNH Industrial, and DJI Agriculture outline 2026 product roadmaps that expand AI-enabled autonomy and drone fleets, setting adoption trajectories that underpin 2030 forecasts (Reuters technology coverage).
Crop input leaders Bayer and Corteva scale digital agronomy and biologicals, with analysts estimating biologicals could represent 10-15% of crop protection by 2030 (McKinsey agriculture insights).
Policy support and carbon programs from the EU and U.S. incentivize data-driven farming, with regulators signaling continued funding for climate-smart agriculture in 2026-2027 (European Commission press corner; USDA press releases).

Analysts Raise 2030 Revenue and Adoption Tracks

Analyst houses and banks over the past six weeks have upgraded AgriTech adoption curves through 2030, citing stronger visibility from OEM roadmaps and policy tailwinds. IDC’s recent agriculture FutureScape outlines that by 2030, more than 60% of row-crop acres in developed markets are expected to use AI-guided variable-rate applications, with global AgriTech revenue modeled in the mid-$80 billion to low-$100 billion range depending on input prices and capex cycles (IDC FutureScape for Worldwide Agriculture 2026). PitchBook’s late-December outlook points to capital rotation into farm robotics and biologicals, projecting high-teens CAGR for those subsegments through 2030 (PitchBook sector outlooks).

Manufacturers reinforced these tracks with January product updates. At the 2026 tech show cycle, Deere highlighted continued expansion of its See & Spray platform and autonomy subscriptions across additional implement categories, a key driver behind variable-rate and labor-saving adoption scenarios tracked by analysts (Reuters coverage of CES agriculture...

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