Why Tesla and SpaceX Could Treat Rare Earths and Critical Minerals as Strategic Infrastructure

Elon Musk's companies face unprecedented materials exposure. As competitors and defense primes secure upstream supply, vertical integration into critical minerals may become a strategic imperative—not a distraction.

Published: January 13, 2026 By Aisha Mohammed Category: Mining
Why Tesla and SpaceX Could Treat Rare Earths and Critical Minerals as Strategic Infrastructure

Intelligence Brief: The Materials Imperative

Dimension Assessment
Strategic Impact Tesla and SpaceX face concentrated materials risk that rivals Apple and defense primes have already begun addressing through supply chain investments
Key Materials Neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, lithium, cobalt, nickel, copper, gallium
Concentration Risk China controls 60% rare earth mining, 90% processing, and 92% permanent magnet production
Precedent Players Apple, BMW, GM, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman have all made upstream investments
Timeline 18-36 months for meaningful offtake agreements; 5-10 years for processing capacity

For physical AI, the upstream constraint is not compute—it is the materials layer of the Physical AI Stack. This thesis is explored in depth in our analysis of AI's Next Bottleneck Is Physical, Not Computational.

Tesla and SpaceX sit at the apex of this constraint. Their products demand rare earth permanent magnets, advanced battery chemistries, and specialty alloys at scales that dwarf most industrial competitors. Yet neither company has publicly secured the upstream supply relationships that their risk profile demands.

This analysis examines why that may change.


Section 1: What Minerals Actually Matter

The materials conversation often conflates rare earths with critical minerals. Precision matters.

Rare Earth Permanent Magnets

Tesla motors and SpaceX actuators rely on neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnets—the strongest permanent magnets commercially available. These magnets require:

Element Function Supply Risk
Neodymium (Nd) Primary magnetic strength High (China 85%)
Praseodymium (Pr) Magnetic enhancement High (China 85%)
Dysprosium (Dy) High-temperature stability Critical (China 99%)
Terbium (Tb) Temperature coefficient Critical (China 99%)

Without dysprosium, NdFeB magnets degrade above 150°C—rendering them unsuitable for EV motors and aerospace applications.

Critical Minerals Beyond Rare Earths

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Read the full article at BUSINESS 2.0 NEWS

Mineral Application Primary Producer Concentration
Lithium Battery cathodes Australia/Chile 75% combined
Cobalt Battery stability DRC 70%
Nickel Energy density Indonesia 50%
Copper